Tennis · W35 Hurghada · 16/09, 09:00

Prediction: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Sandra Samir

Team pages: Ekaterina Tupitsyna · Sandra Samir

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Ekaterina Tupitsyna Sandra Samir
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Tupitsyna 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLWL
Sandra Samir 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekaterina Tupitsyna 1523 · Sandra Samir 1446
Ekaterina TupitsynaSandra Samir
Our model61%39%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Tupitsyna (rating 1523 vs 1446).
  • Ekaterina Tupitsyna is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Ekaterina Tupitsyna makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Sandra Samir makes many double faults (6.3/match).

Statistics

Ekaterina TupitsynaSandra Samir
Win %60%20%
Win % · Clay 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.90.6-1.6
Games (G-P)10.9-8.17.9-11.6
Aces20.4
Double faults56.3
1st serve %66%52.1%
Break %68.3%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekaterina Tupitsyna

WLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Peangtarn Plipuech
W15 Tianjin
0-2 8-13 L
26/08 Cherry Kim
W15 Tianjin
2-0 13-6 W
06/08 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
1-2 13-17 L
19/07 Kamonwan Yodpetch
W15 Astana
1-2 16-19 L
18/07 Maria Sholokhova
W15 Astana
1-0 6-2 W
17/07 Victoria Milovanova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
W15 Astana
2-1 16-6 W
10/07 Ekaterina Maklakova
W15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
09/07 Aiya Nupbay
W15 Astana
1-0 6-0 W
08/07 Yashaswini Panwar
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W

Sandra Samir

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Ilay Yoruk
WTA Antalya · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Polina Leykina
W35 Krakow
0-2 6-12 L
12/08 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
W35 Bydgoszcz
1-2 7-16 L
29/07 Jule Niemeier
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 11-14 L
15/07 Dayeon Back
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Francesca Gandolfi
W35 Buzau
0-2 5-12 L
03/07 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 10-17 L
02/07 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Daniela Vismane
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
12/06 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Sandra Samir?

Our model gives 67% to Ekaterina Tupitsyna, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.