Tennis · W35 Hurghada · 16/09, 09:00
Prediction: Minel Naz Kaynak vs Ekaterina Perelygina
Team pages: Minel Naz Kaynak · Ekaterina Perelygina
Prediction summary
Winner
Minel Naz Kaynak
Ekaterina Perelygina
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Minel Naz Kaynak
3-7 (W-L)
Ekaterina Perelygina
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Minel Naz Kaynak 1449 · Ekaterina Perelygina 1509
| Minel Naz Kaynak | Ekaterina Perelygina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Perelygina (rating 1449 vs 1509).
- Note: Minel Naz Kaynak makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Ekaterina Perelygina makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Minel Naz Kaynak | Ekaterina Perelygina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-10.7 | 8.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 53.6% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 44% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Minel Naz Kaynak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Yashaswini Panwar W15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Karyna Fiadosik W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Yasemin Eiselmeier W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Zeynep Ilker W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/05 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/02 | Camilla Gennaro W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/01 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/01 | Feier Hu W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ekaterina Perelygina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Samira De Stefano W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Lejla Hana Golubovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/08 | Sara Mikaca W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Alexa Karatancheva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Yujia Huang W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 21/07 | Julia Grabher W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Minel Naz Kaynak vs Ekaterina Perelygina?
Our model gives 78% to Ekaterina Perelygina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.