Tennis · M15 Melilla · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alexander Petrov vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Team pages: Alexander Petrov · Daniele Rapagnetta
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Petrov
Daniele Rapagnetta
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Petrov
5-5 (W-L)
Daniele Rapagnetta
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Petrov 1488 · Daniele Rapagnetta 1521
| Alexander Petrov | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexander Petrov makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Petrov | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.7 | 11.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 66% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Petrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Eli Stephenson M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Logan Zapp M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tygen Goldammer M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Liam Krall M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Jacob Brumm M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Ronald Hohmann M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Kelly Giese M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Manuel Mazza M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxime Janvier M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Pierluigi Basile M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Petrov vs Daniele Rapagnetta?
Our model gives 69% to Daniele Rapagnetta, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.