Tennis · M15 Melilla · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolo Toffanin vs Esteban Talavera Cortes
Team pages: Nicolo Toffanin · Esteban Talavera Cortes
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolo Toffanin
Esteban Talavera Cortes
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolo Toffanin
0-10 (W-L)
Esteban Talavera Cortes
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolo Toffanin
1–0
Esteban Talavera Cortes
(1 last)
- 17 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolo Toffanin 1430 · Esteban Talavera Cortes 1470
| Nicolo Toffanin | Esteban Talavera Cortes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Esteban Talavera Cortes (rating 1430 vs 1470).
- Head-to-head: Nicolo Toffanin 1–0 Esteban Talavera Cortes (1).
Statistics
| Nicolo Toffanin | Esteban Talavera Cortes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-12 | 8.9-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Nicolo Toffanin 1 – 0 Esteban Talavera Cortes (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolo Toffanin 1–0 Esteban Talavera Cortes
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/25 M15 Melilla | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolo Toffanin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Jack Loge M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Paul Schmid M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Tobia Grandinetti M25 Fano |
1-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Sardo M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Gabriele Vulpitta M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Esteban Talavera Cortes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrea Motta M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-1 | 7-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Oscar Brown M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Amaan Siddiqui M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Juan Mano M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolo Toffanin vs Esteban Talavera Cortes?
Our model gives 52% to Nicolo Toffanin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.