Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 14/09, 20:30
Prediction: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Chloe Paquet
Team pages: Jazmin Ortenzi · Chloe Paquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Jazmin Ortenzi
Chloe Paquet
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jazmin Ortenzi
4-6 (W-L)
Chloe Paquet
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jazmin Ortenzi 1463 · Chloe Paquet 1477
| Jazmin Ortenzi | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Jazmin Ortenzi | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.3 | 10.7-12.6 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jazmin Ortenzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Katherine Sebov Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Francesca Pace WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Viola Turini WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Chloe Paquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Martina Capurro Taborda WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Ariana Geerlings W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jazmin Ortenzi vs Chloe Paquet?
Our model gives 59% to Chloe Paquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.