Tennis · M25 Nevers · 14/09, 17:00

Prediction: Jack McGary vs Conor Brady

Team pages: Jack McGary

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Jack McGary Conor Brady
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jack McGary 1-9 (W-L)
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Conor Brady 4-6 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jack McGary 1423 · Conor Brady 1496
Jack McGaryConor Brady
Our model40%60%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Conor Brady (rating 1423 vs 1496).
  • Conor Brady is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Jack McGaryConor Brady
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 25% (8) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.71-1.2
Games (G-P)8.1-12.29.3-8.9
Aces21.6
Double faults2.72.6
1st serve %58.4%59.8%
Break %30.6%43%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jack McGary

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Paul Theate
M25 Plaisir
0-2 8-13 L
31/08 Ander Tarrio Ponte
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 9-13 L
27/07 Elijah Strode
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/05 Maksim Shin
M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/05 Alexandr Binda
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
18/05 Ivan Zaytsev
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/05 John Echeverria
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L
12/05 Evgeny Tyurnev
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
28/04 Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz De Rozas
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/04 Rafael De Alba
M25 Xalapa · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L

Conor Brady

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Roan Jones
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
27/07 Oscar Brown
M25 Aldershot
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Samuel Constantinou
M25 Aldershot
2-0 12-2 W
04/05 Tyler Stice
M25 Nottingham
1-1 11-8 W
03/05 Fred Barnett
M25 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-2 W
27/04 Reece Falck
M25 Nottingham
0-2 10-14 L
26/04 Joshua Craze
M25 Nottingham
2-0 12-5 W
02/02 Luca Parenti
M25 Sheffield
1-2 8-9 L
01/02 Thomas Loxley
M25 Sheffield
2-1 14-13 W
27/01 Anton Matusevich
M25 Glasgow
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jack McGary vs Conor Brady?

Our model gives 70% to Conor Brady, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.