Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 14/09, 12:10
Prediction: Sofia Johnson vs Malaika Rapolu
Team pages: Sofia Johnson · Malaika Rapolu
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Johnson
Malaika Rapolu
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Johnson
6-4 (W-L)
Malaika Rapolu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Johnson 1587 · Malaika Rapolu 1536
| Sofia Johnson | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Johnson (rating 1587 vs 1536).
Statistics
| Sofia Johnson | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.7 | 10.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Margaux Rouvroy WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Matilde Jorge W50 Evora |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Kayla Cross W50 Evora |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Xinyu Gao W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Mary Lewis W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Isabella Marton W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Leiria |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Madison Sieg W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Mia Slama W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Johnson vs Malaika Rapolu?
Our model gives 55% to Sofia Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.