Tennis · WTA Valencia · 14/09, 12:30
Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Dalila Spiteri
Team pages: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · Dalila Spiteri
Prediction summary
Winner
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Dalila Spiteri
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
9-1 (W-L)
Dalila Spiteri
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1557 · Dalila Spiteri 1482
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Dalila Spiteri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1557 vs 1482).
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Dalila Spiteri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.5 | 10.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Neus Torner Sensano WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Francesca Pace W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Amandine Monnot W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Milena Steinkamp W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Dalila Spiteri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Lucie Nguyen Tan WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Luisa Hrda W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Aliesia Reva W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Anja Stankovic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Dalila Spiteri?
Our model gives 71% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.