Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Francisca Jorge vs Xinyu Gao
Team pages: Francisca Jorge · Xinyu Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisca Jorge
Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francisca Jorge
5-5 (W-L)
Xinyu Gao
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisca Jorge
0–1
Xinyu Gao
(1 last)
- 19 Jul1-2 16-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisca Jorge 1494 · Xinyu Gao 1527
| Francisca Jorge | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Francisca Jorge 0–1 Xinyu Gao (1).
Statistics
| Francisca Jorge | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.5 | 9-8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Francisca Jorge 0 – 1 Xinyu Gao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisca Jorge 0–1 Xinyu Gao
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/23 ITF W40 Porto | 1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisca Jorge
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W50 Evora |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Mia Ristic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Yufei Ren W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Hanna Bougouffa W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Vigo |
1-1 | 2-6 | L |
Xinyu Gao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Evora |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Micic W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Zongyu Li W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Mayuka Aikawa W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/08 | Julia Adams W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Britt Du Pree W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisca Jorge vs Xinyu Gao?
Our model gives 59% to Xinyu Gao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.