Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 14/09, 16:30
Prediction: Sana Garakani vs Lisa Pigato
Team pages: Sana Garakani · Lisa Pigato
Prediction summary
Winner
Sana Garakani
Lisa Pigato
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sana Garakani
1-9 (W-L)
Lisa Pigato
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sana Garakani 1388 · Lisa Pigato 1498
| Sana Garakani | Lisa Pigato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisa Pigato (rating 1388 vs 1498).
- Lisa Pigato is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Sana Garakani makes many double faults (8.6/match).
Statistics
| Sana Garakani | Lisa Pigato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 10% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6-10.9 | 10.8-11 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 8.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sana Garakani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Carolyn Ansari W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 26/08 | Aurora Nosei W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Denise Valente W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Severine Deppner W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Carolina Correia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Meriem Ben Ezzedine Meriem W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Isabella De Micco Padula W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 28/05 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Lisa Pigato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Linda Klimovicova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Alice Tubello W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Laima Vladson W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Noma Noha Akugue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sana Garakani vs Lisa Pigato?
Our model gives 81% to Lisa Pigato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.