Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Susan Bandecchi vs Maria Martinez Vaquero
Team pages: Susan Bandecchi · Maria Martinez Vaquero
Prediction summary
Winner
Susan Bandecchi
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Susan Bandecchi
9-1 (W-L)
Maria Martinez Vaquero
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Susan Bandecchi 1574 · Maria Martinez Vaquero 1439
| Susan Bandecchi | Maria Martinez Vaquero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Susan Bandecchi (rating 1574 vs 1439).
- Susan Bandecchi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Martinez Vaquero makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Susan Bandecchi | Maria Martinez Vaquero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8 | 8.3-10 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Susan Bandecchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Alina Charaeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Mimi Xu W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Brooke Black W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Veronika Podrez WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Isabella Marton W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Anna Siskova W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Tilwith Di Girolami W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Julie Myatovic W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Susan Bandecchi vs Maria Martinez Vaquero?
Our model gives 78% to Susan Bandecchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.