Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson
Team pages: Aoi Ito · Gabriela Knutson
Prediction summary
Winner
Aoi Ito
Gabriela Knutson
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aoi Ito
5-5 (W-L)
Gabriela Knutson
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aoi Ito
2–1
Gabriela Knutson
(3 last)
- 18 Jul0-2 8-12L
- 31 Jan2-0 12-6W
- 08 Jan2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aoi Ito 1483 · Gabriela Knutson 1578
| Aoi Ito | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriela Knutson (rating 1483 vs 1578).
- Head-to-head: Aoi Ito 2–1 Gabriela Knutson (3).
- Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (6.1/match).
- Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Aoi Ito | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10 | 10.6-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 55% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Aoi Ito 2 – 1 Gabriela Knutson (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aoi Ito 2–1 Gabriela Knutson
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 WTA Prague | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/01/24 ITF W75 Burnie | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/01/23 ITF W40 Nonthaburi Qual | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aoi Ito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Reese Brantmeier W50 Evora |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Evora |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Solana Sierra WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Katherine Sebov WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Gabriela Knutson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Eva Lys US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Dominika Salkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Varvara Lepchenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Ella Seidel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson?
Our model gives 57% to Gabriela Knutson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.