Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Mariia Nozdrachova vs Kayla Cross
Team pages: Mariia Nozdrachova · Kayla Cross
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Nozdrachova
Kayla Cross
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Nozdrachova
2-8 (W-L)
Kayla Cross
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Nozdrachova 1434 · Kayla Cross 1487
| Mariia Nozdrachova | Kayla Cross | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 4% | 96% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kayla Cross (rating 1434 vs 1487).
- Kayla Cross is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Mariia Nozdrachova makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Kayla Cross makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mariia Nozdrachova | Kayla Cross | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.9-11.1 | 9.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 50% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Nozdrachova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Livia Keller W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Isabella De Micco Padula W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/11 | Jamilah Snells ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Elizabeth Jurna ITF W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Alize Lim ITF W100 Lisboa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Kayla Cross
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Evora |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 10/09 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Giulia Pereira De Aguiar W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/08 | Robin Montgomery US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ann Li WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Katie Boulter WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Nozdrachova vs Kayla Cross?
Our model gives 79% to Kayla Cross, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.