Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 14/09, 20:00
Prediction: Sinja Kraus vs Mia Pohankova
Team pages: Sinja Kraus · Mia Pohankova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sinja Kraus
Mia Pohankova
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sinja Kraus
5-5 (W-L)
Mia Pohankova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sinja Kraus 1499 · Mia Pohankova 1446
| Sinja Kraus | Mia Pohankova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sinja Kraus (rating 1499 vs 1446).
- Sinja Kraus is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mia Pohankova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sinja Kraus | Mia Pohankova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.7 | 8.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 63% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sinja Kraus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Karolina Muchova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | En Shuo Liang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Claire Liu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Alina Charaeva WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 21/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mia Pohankova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Harmony Tan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Magda Linette WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sinja Kraus vs Mia Pohankova?
Our model gives 59% to Sinja Kraus, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.