Tennis · WTA Valencia · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Veronika Erjavec
Team pages: Francesca Curmi · Veronika Erjavec
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Veronika Erjavec
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
5-5 (W-L)
Veronika Erjavec
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1498 · Veronika Erjavec 1473
| Francesca Curmi | Veronika Erjavec | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Veronika Erjavec | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.5 | 11.3-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 62.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Francisca Jorge W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Pia Lovric W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Xinxin Yao W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Veronika Erjavec
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Victoria Bosio WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Veronika Erjavec?
Our model gives 55% to Veronika Erjavec, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.