Tennis · WTA Valencia · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Nuria Brancaccio vs Despina Papamichail
Team pages: Nuria Brancaccio · Despina Papamichail
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuria Brancaccio
Despina Papamichail
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nuria Brancaccio
6-4 (W-L)
Despina Papamichail
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuria Brancaccio
1–1
Despina Papamichail
(2 last)
- 04 Apr2-0 12-4W
- 11 Jan1-2 12-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuria Brancaccio 1537 · Despina Papamichail 1459
| Nuria Brancaccio | Despina Papamichail | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nuria Brancaccio (rating 1537 vs 1459).
- Nuria Brancaccio is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nuria Brancaccio | Despina Papamichail | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.8 | 9.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 52% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Nuria Brancaccio 1 – 1 Despina Papamichail (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuria Brancaccio 1–1 Despina Papamichail
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/23 WTA Bogota | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/01/18 ITF Women Hammamet | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuria Brancaccio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Cagla Buyukakcay W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Mia Ristic W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Martina Colmegna W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Despina Papamichail
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Simona Waltert WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Zolotareva WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/08 | Laura Pigossi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Jana Otzipka W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Marie Weckerle W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuria Brancaccio vs Despina Papamichail?
Our model gives 71% to Nuria Brancaccio, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.