Tennis · WTA Valencia · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca
Team pages: Alicia Herrero Linana · Lucia Cortez Llorca
Prediction summary
Winner
Alicia Herrero Linana
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alicia Herrero Linana
8-2 (W-L)
Lucia Cortez Llorca
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alicia Herrero Linana 1577 · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1591
| Alicia Herrero Linana | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Alicia Herrero Linana | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.6 | 12.2-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alicia Herrero Linana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Eva Bennemann WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Margaux Maquet W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Madison Sieg W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 20/08 | Alena Kovackova W50 Prague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Isabella Shinikova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Johanne C Svendsen W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca?
Our model gives 61% to Alicia Herrero Linana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.