Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 13/09, 18:30
Prediction: Hayu Kinoshita vs Cadence Brace
Team pages: Hayu Kinoshita · Cadence Brace
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayu Kinoshita
Cadence Brace
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hayu Kinoshita
4-6 (W-L)
Cadence Brace
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayu Kinoshita 1469 · Cadence Brace 1510
| Hayu Kinoshita | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cadence Brace (rating 1469 vs 1510).
- Cadence Brace is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Hayu Kinoshita makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Hayu Kinoshita | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.4 | 11.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayu Kinoshita
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Victoria Rodriguez WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Cadence Brace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Ana Candiotto WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Lan Mi W35 Barueri |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/08 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Ana Candiotto W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayu Kinoshita vs Cadence Brace?
Our model gives 53% to Cadence Brace, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.