Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 13/09, 17:00
Prediction: Justina Mikulskyte vs Chloe Paquet
Team pages: Justina Mikulskyte · Chloe Paquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Justina Mikulskyte
Chloe Paquet
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Justina Mikulskyte
5-5 (W-L)
Chloe Paquet
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Justina Mikulskyte
0–2
Chloe Paquet
(2 last)
- 07 Jul0-2 4-12L
- 19 Apr1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justina Mikulskyte 1521 · Chloe Paquet 1442
| Justina Mikulskyte | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justina Mikulskyte (rating 1521 vs 1442).
- Justina Mikulskyte is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Justina Mikulskyte 0–2 Chloe Paquet (2).
- Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Justina Mikulskyte | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.5 | 10.6-13.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Justina Mikulskyte 0 – 2 Chloe Paquet (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Justina Mikulskyte 0–2 Chloe Paquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 W75 The Hague | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/04/24 ITF W75 Koper | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justina Mikulskyte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Antonia Rivera WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Ariana Geerlings W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Federica Urgesi W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Gina Feistel W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Weronika Ewald WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Chloe Paquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Martina Capurro Taborda WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Ariana Geerlings W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justina Mikulskyte vs Chloe Paquet?
Our model gives 53% to Justina Mikulskyte, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.