Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 15/09, 16:00
Prediction: Suzan Lamens vs Carolina Alves
Team pages: Suzan Lamens · Carolina Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Suzan Lamens
Carolina Alves
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Suzan Lamens
5-5 (W-L)
Carolina Alves
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Suzan Lamens
1–1
Carolina Alves
(2 last)
- 18 Mar2-0 12-8W
- 13 Sept0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suzan Lamens 1487 · Carolina Alves 1571
| Suzan Lamens | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Alves (rating 1487 vs 1571).
- Carolina Alves is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Suzan Lamens makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Suzan Lamens | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12 | 11.5-6.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Suzan Lamens 1 – 1 Carolina Alves (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzan Lamens 1–1 Carolina Alves
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/22 ITF W25 Anapoima | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09/17 ITF Women Antalya | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suzan Lamens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Kayla Day WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Emerson Jones US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Amelia Rajecki Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Carolina Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Antonia Rivera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Lan Mi W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Pergamino |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Fernanda Labrana W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suzan Lamens vs Carolina Alves?
Our model gives 63% to Suzan Lamens, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.