Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 15/09, 16:00
Prediction: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce
Team pages: Eva Lys · Gabriela Ce
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Lys
Gabriela Ce
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Lys
4-6 (W-L)
Gabriela Ce
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Lys 1466 · Gabriela Ce 1516
| Eva Lys | Gabriela Ce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 95% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriela Ce (rating 1466 vs 1516).
- Note: Eva Lys makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Gabriela Ce makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Eva Lys | Gabriela Ce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.7 | 10-9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 61% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Lys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Diana Shnaider Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Sorana Cirstea French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Gabriela Ce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Paula Ormaechea W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Galatea Ferro W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Katarina Zavatska W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jenny Lim W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Sofia Shapatava W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-1 | 2-7 | L |
| 23/07 | Mia Ristic W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce?
Our model gives 71% to Eva Lys, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.