Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 15/09, 16:00

Prediction: Julia Riera vs Elina Avanesyan

Team pages: Julia Riera · Elina Avanesyan

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Julia Riera Elina Avanesyan
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Riera 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWLWLL
Elina Avanesyan 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julia Riera 1571 · Elina Avanesyan 1538
Julia RieraElina Avanesyan
Our model55%45%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Elina Avanesyan makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Julia RieraElina Avanesyan
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.3-1
Games (G-P)11.7-7.812.4-9.8
Aces20.1
Double faults3.24.2
1st serve %69.6%61.5%
Break %58.2%56.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julia Riera

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Anna Blinkova
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
10/09 Mary Stoiana
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
09/09 Dominika Salkova
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Viktoria Hruncakova
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W75 Vacaria
2-0 13-5 W
25/07 Laura Pigossi
W75 Vacaria
2-0 12-4 W
24/07 Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
W75 Vacaria
2-0 12-4 W
23/07 Carolina Bohrer Martins
W75 Vacaria
2-0 13-7 W
22/07 Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa
W75 Vacaria
2-0 12-1 W
17/07 Nuria Brancaccio
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 15-14 L

Elina Avanesyan

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Andrea Lazaro Garcia
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/07 Anna Bondar
WTA Hamburg · Clay
1-2 18-18 L
23/07 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
21/07 Arantxa Rus
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
20/07 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
15/07 Petra Marcinko
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
14/07 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Irina Fetecau
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
12/07 Emily Seibold
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
07/07 Alicia Herrero Linana
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julia Riera vs Elina Avanesyan?

Our model gives 53% to Elina Avanesyan, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.