Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 13/09, 14:00
Prediction: Georgina Garcia-Perez vs Ariana Arseneault
Team pages: Georgina Garcia-Perez · Ariana Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Georgina Garcia-Perez
Ariana Arseneault
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Georgina Garcia-Perez
5-5 (W-L)
Ariana Arseneault
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Georgina Garcia-Perez 1415 · Ariana Arseneault 1468
| Georgina Garcia-Perez | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ariana Arseneault (rating 1415 vs 1468).
Statistics
| Georgina Garcia-Perez | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12.2 | 10-11 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Georgina Garcia-Perez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Aleksandra Pozarenko W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Elena Malygina W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Katerina Mandelikova W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Elena Micic WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Eva Vedder WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Andreea Prisacariu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucia Bronzetti W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ariana Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Evora |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Alexandra Osborne WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Annabelle Xu WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Georgina Garcia-Perez vs Ariana Arseneault?
Our model gives 62% to Ariana Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.