Tennis · WTA Valencia · 13/09, 16:30

Prediction: Dalila Spiteri vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

Team pages: Dalila Spiteri · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Dalila Spiteri Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Dalila Spiteri 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWLW
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalila Spiteri 1474 · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1483
Dalila SpiteriMell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Our model49%51%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Dalila SpiteriMell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.3-11.511.3-12.5
Aces21.4
Double faults3.22.9
1st serve %59.1%56.1%
Break %41.6%53.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalila Spiteri

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Lucie Nguyen Tan
WTA Montreux · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
26/08 Luisa Hrda
W35 Verbier
0-2 4-12 L
20/08 Anastasija Cvetkovic
W35 Verbier
1-2 13-17 L
19/08 Aliesia Reva
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
23/07 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
20/07 Alessandra Mazzola
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
13/07 Francesca Jones
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 7-13 L
18/06 Anja Stankovic
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W
17/06 Julia Stamatova
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Katie Swan
W50 Evora
0-2 2-12 L
03/09 Linda Fruhvirtova
W50 Leiria
0-2 7-12 L
01/09 Adithya Karunaratne
W50 Leiria
2-0 12-7 W
23/08 Mia Pohankova
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/07 Fernanda Labrana
W75 Vacaria
1-2 13-17 L
19/07 Oceane Babel
W35 Sao Paulo
0-2 7-12 L
18/07 Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W35 Sao Paulo
2-1 18-13 W
17/07 Martina Capurro Taborda
W35 Sao Paulo
2-0 13-8 W
16/07 Francesca Mattioli
W35 Sao Paulo
2-1 19-16 W
14/07 Isabella Barrera Aguirre
W35 Sao Paulo
2-1 16-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalila Spiteri vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?

Our model gives 54% to Dalila Spiteri, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.