Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 12/09, 22:00
Prediction: Pavel Bushuev vs Liam Oliver
Team pages: Pavel Bushuev · Liam Oliver
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Bushuev
Liam Oliver
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Bushuev
4-6 (W-L)
Liam Oliver
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Bushuev 1449 · Liam Oliver 1396
| Pavel Bushuev | Liam Oliver | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Bushuev (rating 1449 vs 1396).
Statistics
| Pavel Bushuev | Liam Oliver | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.2-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-11.3 | 5.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 10.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Bushuev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Andy Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximilian Wuelfing UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Lukas Phimvongsa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Calvin Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Justin Chung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Liam Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Miguel Avendano Cadena UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Cesar Cruz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Louis Larue M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/02 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/02 | Lucas Hammond UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/02 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Bushuev vs Liam Oliver?
Our model gives 70% to Pavel Bushuev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.