Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 12/09, 17:00
Prediction: Chloe Paquet vs Martina Capurro Taborda
Team pages: Chloe Paquet · Martina Capurro Taborda
Prediction summary
Winner
Chloe Paquet
Martina Capurro Taborda
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Chloe Paquet
6-4 (W-L)
Martina Capurro Taborda
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chloe Paquet 1435 · Martina Capurro Taborda 1523
| Chloe Paquet | Martina Capurro Taborda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martina Capurro Taborda (rating 1435 vs 1523).
- Martina Capurro Taborda is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Chloe Paquet | Martina Capurro Taborda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.4 | 10.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chloe Paquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Ariana Geerlings W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Martina Capurro Taborda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Victoria Luiza Barros W35 Barueri |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Maayan Laron W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Daria Egorova W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Berta Bonardi W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Oceane Babel W75 Vacaria |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 17/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Ana Candiotto W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Camila Romero W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Despina Papamichail W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chloe Paquet vs Martina Capurro Taborda?
Our model gives 52% to Chloe Paquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.