Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 12/09, 17:00
Prediction: Justina Mikulskyte vs Antonia Rivera
Team pages: Justina Mikulskyte · Antonia Rivera
Prediction summary
Winner
Justina Mikulskyte
Antonia Rivera
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Justina Mikulskyte
5-5 (W-L)
Antonia Rivera
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justina Mikulskyte 1482 · Antonia Rivera 1424
| Justina Mikulskyte | Antonia Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justina Mikulskyte (rating 1482 vs 1424).
- Justina Mikulskyte is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Justina Mikulskyte | Antonia Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.7 | 7.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justina Mikulskyte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Ariana Geerlings W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Federica Urgesi W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Gina Feistel W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Weronika Ewald WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Antonia Rivera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Carolina Alves WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Lidia Encheva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Samira De Stefano W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Darya Astakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Kristina Penickova W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Mayu Crossley W35 Florence |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Taylor Gruber W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justina Mikulskyte vs Antonia Rivera?
Our model gives 66% to Justina Mikulskyte, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.