Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 12/09, 17:00
Prediction: Hayu Kinoshita vs Victoria Rodriguez
Team pages: Hayu Kinoshita · Victoria Rodriguez
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayu Kinoshita
Victoria Rodriguez
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hayu Kinoshita
4-6 (W-L)
Victoria Rodriguez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayu Kinoshita 1443 · Victoria Rodriguez 1440
| Hayu Kinoshita | Victoria Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Hayu Kinoshita makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Hayu Kinoshita | Victoria Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11 | 10.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayu Kinoshita
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Viktoriya Tomova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Victoria Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Raphaelle Lacasse W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Luisina Giovannini W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Sofi Plamenova Fitcheva W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/04 | Gabriela Ce Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/04 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Emiliana Arango Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/04 | Samantha Martinez Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/04 | Luisina Giovannini W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayu Kinoshita vs Victoria Rodriguez?
Our model gives 65% to Hayu Kinoshita, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.