Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 12/09, 17:00
Prediction: Xiaodi You vs Luiza Fullana
Team pages: Xiaodi You · Luiza Fullana
Prediction summary
Winner
Xiaodi You
Luiza Fullana
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Xiaodi You
3-7 (W-L)
Luiza Fullana
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiaodi You 1412 · Luiza Fullana 1570
| Xiaodi You | Luiza Fullana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luiza Fullana (rating 1412 vs 1570).
- Luiza Fullana is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Xiaodi You makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Xiaodi You | Luiza Fullana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-12.5 | 11.1-7.6 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 71% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiaodi You
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Natalija Senic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Francisca Jorge French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Luiza Fullana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Ana Candiotto W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Marjorie Souza W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Laura Badia W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Lan Mi W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Maayan Laron W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Alicia Reichel W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiaodi You vs Luiza Fullana?
Our model gives 52% to Xiaodi You, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.