Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney Women · 12/09, 02:00
Prediction: Ashleigh Simes vs Nikitha Desai
Team pages: Ashleigh Simes · Nikitha Desai
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashleigh Simes
Nikitha Desai
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ashleigh Simes
6-4 (W-L)
Nikitha Desai
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashleigh Simes 1586 · Nikitha Desai 1484
| Ashleigh Simes | Nikitha Desai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashleigh Simes (rating 1586 vs 1484).
- Ashleigh Simes is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Nikitha Desai makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Ashleigh Simes | Nikitha Desai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.6 | 10.4-11 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 54% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashleigh Simes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Maahi Shah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Taylah Lawless UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/03 | Olga Danilova W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/03 | Alana Subasic W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/03 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/03 | Koharu Nishikawa W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/03 | Laquisa Khan W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/03 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Nikitha Desai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Bhavya Bhardwaj UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Bridget Mihulka UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Larisa Arnautovic UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Teodora Jovic UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Escher Case-Boag UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Ayeesha Dowerah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Rianna Alame UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Ava-Monet Sycamore UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 14/05 | Marfa Solovei UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashleigh Simes vs Nikitha Desai?
Our model gives 77% to Ashleigh Simes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.