Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney Women · 19/09, 02:30
Prediction: Ashleigh Simes vs I Wen Wan
Team pages: Ashleigh Simes · I Wen Wan
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashleigh Simes
I Wen Wan
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ashleigh Simes
7-3 (W-L)
I Wen Wan
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashleigh Simes 1584 · I Wen Wan 1641
| Ashleigh Simes | I Wen Wan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours I Wen Wan (rating 1584 vs 1641).
- Note: Ashleigh Simes makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Ashleigh Simes | I Wen Wan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 100% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 2-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-6.5 | 12.7-5.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 60.8% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashleigh Simes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Bianca Hristov UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Eva Lozitskaya UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/09 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Violet Apisah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Maahi Shah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Taylah Lawless UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/03 | Olga Danilova W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
I Wen Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Lala Fannin UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Emily Johnson UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/09 | Angela Cui UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Eva Lopez UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Sofia Savic UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Taylor Burke UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashleigh Simes vs I Wen Wan?
Our model gives 67% to I Wen Wan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.