Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 11/09, 20:00
Prediction: Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen vs Pavel Bushuev
Team pages: Pavel Bushuev
Prediction summary
Winner
Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen
Pavel Bushuev
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen
4-6 (W-L)
Pavel Bushuev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen 1440 · Pavel Bushuev 1445
| Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen | Pavel Bushuev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pavel Bushuev makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen | Pavel Bushuev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-11.1 | 8.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 33% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Henri Haupt M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/01 | Deni Zmak UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/12 | David Knesl UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/12 | David Kovarik UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/12 | Adam Duda UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/12 | Miko Wassermann UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Vitek Horak UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/12 | Peter Goldsteiner UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Justas Trainauskas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Aydan Gomez Osorio UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Pavel Bushuev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Andy Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximilian Wuelfing UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Lukas Phimvongsa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Calvin Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Justin Chung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen vs Pavel Bushuev?
Our model gives 56% to Pavel Bushuev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.