Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 11/09, 12:00
Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Moez Echargui
Team pages: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Moez Echargui
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Moez Echargui
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Moez Echargui
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
1–0
Moez Echargui
(1 last)
- 21 Apr2-0 12-1W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1511 · Moez Echargui 1479
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1–0 Moez Echargui (1).
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.9 | 11.2-13.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1 – 0 Moez Echargui (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1–0 Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 ATP Madrid | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maks Kasnikowski US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 07/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Dellien US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Moez Echargui?
Our model gives 61% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.