Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal
Team pages: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg · Mark Lajal
Prediction summary
Winner
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Mark Lajal
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
6-4 (W-L)
Mark Lajal
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
0–1
Mark Lajal
(1 last)
- 16 Sept0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1507 · Mark Lajal 1574
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mark Lajal (rating 1507 vs 1574).
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 45.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0–1 Mark Lajal (1).
- Note: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.6 | 12.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0 – 1 Mark Lajal (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0–1 Mark Lajal
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/25 Challenger Saint-Tropez | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Mae Malige Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Mark Lajal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Lenny Couturier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Motoharu Abe Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal?
Our model gives 65% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.