Tennis · M25 Gijon · 10/09, 11:00

Prediction: Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Sander Jong

Team pages: Juan Ignacio Gallego · Sander Jong

Prediction summary
Winner
23% 77%
Juan Ignacio Gallego Sander Jong
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Ignacio Gallego 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWLWWWW
Sander Jong 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juan Ignacio Gallego 1530 · Sander Jong 1621
Juan Ignacio GallegoSander Jong
Our model37%63%
Market11%89%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sander Jong (rating 1530 vs 1621).
  • Sander Jong is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Juan Ignacio GallegoSander Jong
Win %60%90%
Win % · Clay 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.9-0.3
Games (G-P)11.9-10.712.7-5.7
Aces0.14.2
Double faults2.12.8
1st serve %62.8%78.3%
Break %48.5%51.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juan Ignacio Gallego

LWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M25 Gijon
2-1 18-16 W
08/09 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Gijon
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Bernardo Munk Mesa
M15 Madrid
1-2 12-18 L
02/09 Pablo Aunion
M15 Madrid
2-1 15-9 W
28/08 Manuel Plunger
M15 Vienna
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Corentin Denolly
M15 Vienna
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 Daniel Bien
M15 Vienna
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Luc Wieland
M15 Mistelbach
0-2 9-13 L
31/07 Nocolas A Jara Lozano
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/07 Santiago Lora
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-1 19-14 W

Sander Jong

WWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Mario Arce Fernandez
M25 Gijon
2-0 12-3 W
08/09 Carles Rojas
M25 Gijon
2-0 12-4 W
06/09 Deney Wassermann
M15 Haren
2-0 12-5 W
05/09 Pieter De Lange
M15 Haren
2-0 12-1 W
05/09 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Haren
2-0 13-8 W
03/09 Stan Put
M15 Haren
2-1 15-10 W
02/09 Pranav Karthik
M15 Haren
2-0 12-3 W
28/08 Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal
1-2 15-17 L
27/08 Lucio Ratti
M25 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Manvydas Balciunas
M25 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Sander Jong?

Our model gives 77% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.