Tennis · M25 Gijon · 10/09, 10:00

Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Samuel De Felipe Garcia

Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Samuel De Felipe Garcia

Prediction summary
Winner
82% 18%
Ryan Nijboer Samuel De Felipe Garcia
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLLWWWWL
Samuel De Felipe Garcia 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1600 · Samuel De Felipe Garcia 1448
Ryan NijboerSamuel De Felipe Garcia
Our model71%29%
Market92%8%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1600 vs 1448).
  • Ryan Nijboer is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Ryan NijboerSamuel De Felipe Garcia
Win %80%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.70.8-1.6
Games (G-P)13.4-9.39.3-12
Aces5.22.7
Double faults2.93.3
1st serve %76.7%60.5%
Break %47.3%42.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ryan Nijboer

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa
M25 Gijon
2-1 17-11 W
06/09 Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Madrid
2-0 13-10 W
05/09 Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa
M15 Madrid
2-0 13-8 W
04/09 Bernardo Munk Mesa
M15 Madrid
2-1 16-9 W
03/09 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M15 Madrid
2-0 13-7 W
02/09 Mario Arce Fernandez
M15 Madrid
2-1 16-11 W
26/08 Carles Hernandez
M25 Oviedo
1-2 17-18 L
24/08 Tomas Curras Abasolo
M25 Oviedo
2-0 12-4 W
19/08 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Murkel Dellien
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Samuel De Felipe Garcia

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Luke Bollinger
M25 Gijon
2-1 16-16 W
02/09 Rafael De Alba
M15 Madrid
1-2 14-16 L
26/08 Ivan Gakhov
M25 Oviedo
0-2 4-12 L
25/08 Xavi Palomar
M25 Oviedo
2-1 16-14 W
17/08 Fernando Fontan Pardo De Santayana
M25 Santander
0-2 5-12 L
16/07 Goncalo Marques
M15 Castelo Branco
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Marcos Castro Fabra
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-4 W
13/07 Francisco Faria
M15 Castelo Branco
0-2 11-14 L
23/06 Jeffrey Fradkin
M25 Porto
1-2 10-8 L
11/06 Dan Added
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Samuel De Felipe Garcia?

Our model gives 82% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.