Tennis · W50 Evora · 10/09, 13:00

Prediction: Iveta Dapkute vs Anastasia Gasanova

Team pages: Iveta Dapkute · Anastasia Gasanova

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Iveta Dapkute Anastasia Gasanova
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Iveta Dapkute 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLLLWW
Anastasia Gasanova 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Iveta Dapkute 1484 · Anastasia Gasanova 1530
Iveta DapkuteAnastasia Gasanova
Our model43%57%
Market10%90%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Gasanova (rating 1484 vs 1530).
  • Note: Iveta Dapkute makes many double faults (5.2/match).
  • Note: Anastasia Gasanova makes many double faults (6.2/match).

Statistics

Iveta DapkuteAnastasia Gasanova
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.51.2-0.9
Games (G-P)11.1-13.49.8-8.7
Aces0.90.6
Double faults5.26.2
1st serve %54.5%59%
Break %50.8%50.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Iveta Dapkute

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Kylie Collins
W50 Evora
2-1 17-16 W
07/09 Jana Otzipka
W50 Evora
2-1 16-15 W
06/09 Maria Toma
W50 Evora
2-1 16-14 W
30/08 Jodie Anna Burrage
W50 Leiria
0-2 4-12 L
26/08 Juliana Giaccio
W15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Paula Cembranos
W15 Logrono
1-2 13-18 L
12/08 Hanna Bougouffa
W35 Vigo
0-2 5-12 L
11/08 Sofia Avataneo
W35 Vigo
2-0 12-6 W
12/07 Celia Anson Sanchez
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 15-17 L
07/07 Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W35 Don Benito
0-2 8-12 L

Anastasia Gasanova

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Maria Martinez Vaquero
W50 Evora
2-0 12-7 W
04/09 Sofia Johnson
W50 Leiria
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Matilde Jorge
W50 Leiria
2-0 12-3 W
01/09 Ariana Arseneault
W50 Leiria
2-1 15-9 W
24/08 Madison Brengle
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Harmony Tan
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Susan Bandecchi
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
01/07 Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Emiliana Arango
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Darja Semenistaja
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Iveta Dapkute vs Anastasia Gasanova?

Our model gives 75% to Anastasia Gasanova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.