Tennis · W50 Evora · 10/09, 13:00

Prediction: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova

Team pages: Francisca Jorge · Katarina Kuzmova

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Francisca Jorge Katarina Kuzmova
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francisca Jorge 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLWLWWW
Katarina Kuzmova 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Francisca Jorge 2–0 Katarina Kuzmova (2 last)
  • 02 Sept2-1 13-15W
  • 05 Jun2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francisca Jorge 1526 · Katarina Kuzmova 1503
Francisca JorgeKatarina Kuzmova
Our model53%47%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Francisca Jorge 2–0 Katarina Kuzmova (2).
  • Note: Katarina Kuzmova makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Francisca JorgeKatarina Kuzmova
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.2-1
Games (G-P)10.2-9.911.1-9.4
Aces1.54.7
Double faults2.65.5
1st serve %60.9%69%
Break %43.3%54%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

H2H · Francisca Jorge 20 Katarina Kuzmova (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisca Jorge 20 Katarina Kuzmova

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DateSetsGamesRes.
02/09/26
W50 Leiria
2-113-15W
05/06/26
W50 Montemor-o-Novo
2-116-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francisca Jorge

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Gabriella Da Silva Fick
W50 Evora
2-1 17-10 W
03/09 Chelsea Fontenel
W50 Leiria
1-2 14-14 L
02/09 Katarina Kuzmova
W50 Leiria
2-1 13-15 W
26/08 Mia Ristic
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/08 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/08 Yufei Ren
W35 Vigo
0-2 8-12 L
13/08 Hanna Bougouffa
W35 Vigo
2-0 12-6 W
11/08 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W35 Vigo
1-1 2-6 L
06/08 Kira Pavlova
W75 Ourense
0-2 8-13 L
05/08 Zongyu Li
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-5 W

Katarina Kuzmova

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Raphaelle Lacasse
W50 Evora
2-0 12-6 W
02/09 Francisca Jorge
W50 Leiria
1-2 15-13 L
29/08 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W15 Torello · ~Hard
1-2 15-14 L
28/08 Katherine Hui
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
27/08 Juliana Giaccio
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 9-5 W
26/08 Clarissa Gai
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
04/08 Monika Ekstrand
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
29/07 Emily Appleton
W35 Aldershot
0-2 10-13 L
17/07 Kira Pavlova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 8-12 L
16/07 Kateryna Lazarenko
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 7-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova?

Our model gives 58% to Francisca Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.