Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Katie Swan
Team pages: Malaika Rapolu · Katie Swan
Prediction summary
Winner
Malaika Rapolu
Katie Swan
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu
8-2 (W-L)
Katie Swan
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Malaika Rapolu
1–0
Katie Swan
(1 last)
- 08 Aug2-1 17-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1558 · Katie Swan 1539
| Malaika Rapolu | Katie Swan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Malaika Rapolu 1–0 Katie Swan (1).
Statistics
| Malaika Rapolu | Katie Swan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.6 | 11.1-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 59.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Malaika Rapolu 1 – 0 Katie Swan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malaika Rapolu 1–0 Katie Swan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/25 W35 Southaven | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malaika Rapolu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Leiria |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Madison Sieg W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Mia Slama W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Mayu Crossley W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Katie Swan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Katrina Scott US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Kyoka Okamura W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/05 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Katie Swan?
Our model gives 55% to Katie Swan, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.