Tennis · M25 Plaisir · 10/09, 12:00

Prediction: Adan Freire Da Silva vs Nikola Slavic

Team pages: Adan Freire Da Silva · Nikola Slavic

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Adan Freire Da Silva Nikola Slavic
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adan Freire Da Silva 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLW
Nikola Slavic 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adan Freire Da Silva 1456 · Nikola Slavic 1506
Adan Freire Da SilvaNikola Slavic
Our model43%57%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikola Slavic (rating 1456 vs 1506).

Statistics

Adan Freire Da SilvaNikola Slavic
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.1-1.1
Games (G-P)9.3-11.610.3-11.2
Aces2.23.8
Double faults2.13.2
1st serve %62%71.2%
Break %50.4%31.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adan Freire Da Silva

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Daniel De Jonge
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 9-13 L
04/08 Henri Haupt
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-7 W
29/07 Tristan Berard
M15 Strasbourg
1-2 15-16 L
21/07 Vito Dell'Elba
M15 Segrate
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Alessio Basile
M25 Uriage
0-2 6-13 L
01/07 Emilien Demanet
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Lorenzo Balducci
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
24/06 Dylan Dietrich
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Nikola Slavic

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Lilian Chidekh
M25 Plaisir
2-0 14-12 W
18/08 Stefan Seifert
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
15/08 Karl Friberg
M15 Malmo
0-2 4-12 L
14/08 Didrik Liljekvist
M15 Malmo
2-1 16-14 W
13/08 Alejandro Arcila
M15 Malmo
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Henri Haupt
M15 Malmo
2-0 13-9 W
30/07 Aristotelis Thanos
M25 Gentofte
1-2 12-15 L
28/07 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-8 W
12/07 Miguel Damas
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/07 Finn Bass
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adan Freire Da Silva vs Nikola Slavic?

Our model gives 56% to Nikola Slavic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.