Tennis · M25 Plaisir · 10/09, 13:30

Prediction: Remy Dugardin vs Sebastian Dominko

Team pages: Remy Dugardin · Sebastian Dominko

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Remy Dugardin Sebastian Dominko
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Remy Dugardin 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWW
Sebastian Dominko 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Remy Dugardin 1519 · Sebastian Dominko 1622
Remy DugardinSebastian Dominko
Our model36%64%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1519 vs 1622).
  • Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 46.2% break avg.
  • Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Remy DugardinSebastian Dominko
Win %50%90%
Win % · Hard 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.8-0.5
Games (G-P)10.4-10.312.7-8.5
Aces2.17.7
Double faults1.42.4
1st serve %67.9%79%
Break %31%46.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Remy Dugardin

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Louis Van Herck
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-8 W
07/09 Jules Fabre
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-4 W
07/09 Jeremy Condere
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-4 W
11/08 Jack Loge
M25 Koksijde
0-2 7-12 L
05/08 Noah Schlagenhauf
M15 Eupen
1-2 12-18 L
08/07 Louis Wessels
M25 The Hague
0-2 5-12 L
06/07 Stijn Hofman
M25 The Hague
2-1 10-9 W
23/06 Tim Handel
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
23/04 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
21/04 Maksim Tikhomirov
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Sebastian Dominko

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Loann Massard
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-7 W
30/08 Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor
2-1 16-13 W
29/08 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-7 W
28/08 Dimitar Kuzmanov
M25 Maribor
2-1 18-13 W
27/08 Stefan Popovic
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 Matic Dimic
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-3 W
22/08 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 5-12 L
21/08 Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-1 15-15 W
20/08 Mili Poljicak
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-0 13-7 W
19/08 Tilen Kovac
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Remy Dugardin vs Sebastian Dominko?

Our model gives 74% to Sebastian Dominko, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.