Tennis · M25 Plaisir · 10/09, 12:00
Prediction: Luc Fomba vs Alexander Vasilev
Team pages: Luc Fomba · Alexander Vasilev
Prediction summary
Winner
Luc Fomba
Alexander Vasilev
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Luc Fomba
8-2 (W-L)
Alexander Vasilev
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luc Fomba 1547 · Alexander Vasilev 1499
| Luc Fomba | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luc Fomba (rating 1547 vs 1499).
- Luc Fomba dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 52.3% break avg.
- Note: Alexander Vasilev makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Luc Fomba | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.4 | 9-10.1 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 34.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luc Fomba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Noah Boutleux M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Leo Deflandre M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Tom Jonio M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Louis Bourn M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/03 | Alex Knaff Challenger Cherbourg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Alexander Vasilev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Herve Antchandie M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/08 | George Lazarov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mihailo Savic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luc Fomba vs Alexander Vasilev?
Our model gives 58% to Alexander Vasilev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.