Tennis · M15 Nonthaburi · 10/09, 05:00
Prediction: Chen Dong vs Pawit Sornlaksup
Team pages: Chen Dong · Pawit Sornlaksup
Prediction summary
Winner
Chen Dong
Pawit Sornlaksup
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Chen Dong
4-6 (W-L)
Pawit Sornlaksup
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chen Dong 1463 · Pawit Sornlaksup 1481
| Chen Dong | Pawit Sornlaksup | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Chen Dong | Pawit Sornlaksup | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-9.9 | 9.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chen Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Dev Javia M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Adrian Arcon M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Sergey Petrov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Remy Dugardin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
Pawit Sornlaksup
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Lleyton Richards M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Ivan Gretskiy M15 Astana |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Iliyas Maratuly M15 Astana |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chen Dong vs Pawit Sornlaksup?
Our model gives 60% to Pawit Sornlaksup, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.