Tennis · M15 Nonthaburi · 11/09, 05:00

Prediction: Shintaro Imai vs Pawit Sornlaksup

Team pages: Shintaro Imai · Pawit Sornlaksup

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Shintaro Imai Pawit Sornlaksup
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Shintaro Imai 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLWW
Pawit Sornlaksup 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shintaro Imai 1526 · Pawit Sornlaksup 1485
Shintaro ImaiPawit Sornlaksup
Our model56%44%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shintaro Imai (rating 1526 vs 1485).

Statistics

Shintaro ImaiPawit Sornlaksup
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 80% (5) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11-1.4
Games (G-P)11.4-8.910-11.1
Aces5.71.7
Double faults2.80.8
1st serve %74.7%58.8%
Break %53.3%46.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shintaro Imai

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Jordan Hasson
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
09/09 Tanapatt Nirundorn
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Yuto Oki
M25 Urayasu
0-2 5-12 L
12/08 Adrian Arcon
M15 Tianjin
1-2 14-15 L
08/08 Shunsuke Mitsui
M15 Astana
1-2 12-16 L
07/08 Dan Brand
M15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
29/07 Sora Fukuda
M15 Astana
0-2 7-12 L
10/07 Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 15-14 L
09/07 Kokoro Isomura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Taki Adachi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Pawit Sornlaksup

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Chen Dong
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-1 18-12 W
09/09 Lleyton Richards
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
02/09 Thantub Suksumrarn
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
09/08 Shunsuke Mitsui
Challenger Astana · Hard
1-2 16-14 L
08/08 Mukund Sasikumar
M15 Astana
1-2 10-15 L
07/08 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Astana
2-1 12-13 W
30/07 Damir Zhalgasbay
M15 Astana
0-2 8-12 L
28/07 Iliyas Maratuly
M15 Astana
2-0 11-6 W
23/06 Yaojie Zeng
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/06 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shintaro Imai vs Pawit Sornlaksup?

Our model gives 63% to Shintaro Imai, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.