Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 10/09, 04:00
Prediction: Xinxin Yao vs Ya-Yi Yang
Team pages: Xinxin Yao · Ya-Yi Yang
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinxin Yao
Ya-Yi Yang
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Xinxin Yao
4-6 (W-L)
Ya-Yi Yang
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xinxin Yao
1–0
Ya-Yi Yang
(1 last)
- 20 Sept2-1 15-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinxin Yao 1470 · Ya-Yi Yang 1559
| Xinxin Yao | Ya-Yi Yang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ya-Yi Yang (rating 1470 vs 1559).
- Ya-Yi Yang is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Xinxin Yao 1–0 Ya-Yi Yang (1).
Statistics
| Xinxin Yao | Ya-Yi Yang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.8 | 12-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Xinxin Yao 1 – 0 Ya-Yi Yang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinxin Yao 1–0 Ya-Yi Yang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/24 ITF W50 Fuzhou | 2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Sara Saito W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rasheeda McAdoo W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Ida Wobker W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Dayeon Back W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sophie Triquart W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Diana Martynov W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ya-Yi Yang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Junhan Zhang W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Anna Kubareva W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Chengyiyi Yuan W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Momoko Kobori W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/08 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/08 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Dabin Kim W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Xi Luo W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinxin Yao vs Ya-Yi Yang?
Our model gives 52% to Xinxin Yao.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.