Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 11/09, 05:30
Prediction: Xinxin Yao vs Alexandra Shubladze
Team pages: Xinxin Yao · Alexandra Shubladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinxin Yao
Alexandra Shubladze
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xinxin Yao
4-6 (W-L)
Alexandra Shubladze
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xinxin Yao
0–1
Alexandra Shubladze
(1 last)
- 12 Aug1-2 10-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinxin Yao 1485 · Alexandra Shubladze 1544
| Xinxin Yao | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1485 vs 1544).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Xinxin Yao 0–1 Alexandra Shubladze (1).
Statistics
| Xinxin Yao | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.8 | 12.3-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Xinxin Yao 0 – 1 Alexandra Shubladze (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinxin Yao 0–1 Alexandra Shubladze
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/25 W75 Kursumlijska Banja | 1-2 | 10-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinxin Yao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Ya-Yi Yang W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Sara Saito W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rasheeda McAdoo W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Ida Wobker W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Dayeon Back W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sophie Triquart W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Alexandra Shubladze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Haruka Kaji W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Yuki Naito W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Hina Inoue W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinxin Yao vs Alexandra Shubladze?
Our model gives 68% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.