Tennis · M25 Gijon · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Xavi Palomar

Team pages: Tristan McCormick · Xavi Palomar

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Tristan McCormick Xavi Palomar
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan McCormick 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWW
Xavi Palomar 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1558 · Xavi Palomar 1483
Tristan McCormickXavi Palomar
Our model61%39%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan McCormick (rating 1558 vs 1483).
  • Tristan McCormick is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Xavi Palomar makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Tristan McCormickXavi Palomar
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91-1.1
Games (G-P)13.4-12.29-10.2
Aces5.20.3
Double faults3.14.5
1st serve %76%56.1%
Break %47%52.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tristan McCormick

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Carlos Giraldi
M25 Gijon
2-0 12-8 W
26/08 Yaroslav Demin
M25 Oviedo
1-2 12-17 L
25/08 Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Oviedo
2-0 14-12 W
21/08 Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 14-16 L
20/08 Vasco Leote Prata
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-4 W
19/08 Stefan Vujic
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 17-18 W
15/08 Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 10-13 L
14/08 Tiago Pereira
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 15-14 W
13/08 Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 16-14 W
12/08 Benjamin Pietri
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-6 W

Xavi Palomar

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Vicente Alcaraz Galbis
M25 Gijon
2-0 12-3 W
02/09 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Madrid
0-2 8-13 L
25/08 Samuel De Felipe Garcia
M25 Oviedo
1-2 14-16 L
24/08 Pavel Petrov
M25 Oviedo
2-0 12-7 W
23/08 Alvaro De Miguel Montero
M25 Oviedo
2-0 13-10 W
18/08 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M25 Santander
1-2 8-16 L
17/08 Marc Ros Mesas
M25 Santander
2-0 13-7 W
16/06 Sergi Perez Contri
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-1 1-6 L
10/06 Emile Hudd
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/04 Lucas Poullain
M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Xavi Palomar?

Our model gives 73% to Tristan McCormick, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.