Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Team pages: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
4-6 (W-L)
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1485 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1569
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1485 vs 1569).
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.5 | 12-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 24.8% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maks Kasnikowski US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Gray Voelzke Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Szymon Kielan Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Peter Buldorini M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?
Our model gives 62% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.