Prediction: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Sander Jong
Team pages: Mario Arce Fernandez · Sander Jong
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Arce Fernandez
Sander Jong
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Arce Fernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Sander Jong
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Arce Fernandez 1517 · Sander Jong 1602
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sander Jong (rating 1517 vs 1602).
Statistics
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.5 | 12.4-6.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 77% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Arce Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Ognjen Jagrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ognjen Jagrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Carles Rojas M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Deney Wassermann M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/09 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Stan Put M15 Haren |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Pranav Karthik M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Lucio Ratti M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Manvydas Balciunas M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Arce Fernandez vs Sander Jong?
Our model gives 76% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.