Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Rincon
Team pages: Ugo Blanchet · Daniel Rincon
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Blanchet
Daniel Rincon
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Blanchet
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel Rincon
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ugo Blanchet
2–0
Daniel Rincon
(2 last)
- 23 Jun2-0 14-11W
- 09 Oct2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Blanchet 1489 · Daniel Rincon 1520
| Ugo Blanchet | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ugo Blanchet 2–0 Daniel Rincon (2).
Statistics
| Ugo Blanchet | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-14.2 | 12.2-13.2 |
| Aces | 13.5 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 22.1% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
H2H · Ugo Blanchet 2 – 0 Daniel Rincon (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ugo Blanchet 2–0 Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/25 Wimbledon | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/10/23 Challenger Malaga | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Blanchet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Otto Virtanen US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 17/08 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Charles Broom French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Titouan Droguet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model gives 52% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.